Everyday Irrationality by Robyn Dawes - 9780367315597

Taylor & Francis

Robyn Dawes demonstrates how irrationality results from ignoring obvious comparisons, while instead falling into associational and story-based thinking. He also demonstrates that a lot of everyday judgment, unsupported professional claims, and even social policy is based on \""everyday\"" irrationality. > Robyn Dawes defines irrationality as adhering to beliefs that are inherently self-contradictory, not just incorrect, self-defeating, or the basis of poor decisions. Such beliefs are unfortunately common. Witness two examples: the belief that child sexual abuse can be diagnosed by observing symptoms typically resulting from such abuse, rather than s > \n1 Irrationality Is Abundant, 2 Irrationality Has Consequences, 3 Irrationality: Emotional, Cognitive, Both, or Neither?, 4 Irrationality as a \""Reasonable\"" Response to an Incomplete Specification, 5 Probabilistic Rationality and Irrationality, 6 Three Specific Irrationalities of Probabilistic Judgment, 7 Good Stories, 8 Connectin.